The GSE estimates 2.2 percent GDP growth in 2019—a 90 basis-point year-over-year decline largely attributed to the fading impact of the 2017 tax cuts—as well as decelerating business investment and consumer spending.
Experts warn an economic downturn may be on the horizon. Is your money prepared?
"...changes in financial conditions are like hangovers in that they only start to be felt by the body (real economy) long after the intoxicant (easing of financial conditions) stops being ingested. "
The recent macroeconomic data of the leading economies point to a widespread slowdown. What is more concerning is not just a logical moderation in the path of growth, but the acceleration in the weakening of economies that were supposed to be stronger and healthier.
The economy seems to be cooling off. Whether it starts to shrink is the question.
Economic Trends: After an unprecedented run of continuous gains, the market has finally hit a downturn. Should I Stay or Should I Go?
There appears to be a disconnect between the equity markets and what is happening in our economy
The Fed's Dot Plot of interest rate projections is another exercise in silliness.
Fears of a “looming financial crisis” are being sounded by some economists and financial analysts. Should you heed these warnings?
Now that the old rules governing macroeconomic cycles no longer seem to apply, it remains to be seen what might cause the next recession in the United States. But if recent history is our guide, the biggest threat stems not from the US Federal Reserve or any one sector of the economy, but rather from the White House.
It seems to suggest that the worst is over. Is it?
To limit mass unemployment, the government needs to provide companies with the money they are temporarily unable to earn.
We expect the current economic expansion and equity bull market to persist.
Recent research sheds more light on the dangerous allure of dividend-paying stocks
In current economic conditions, dividend investors would be wise to be cautious.
Uncertainty makes human beings uncomfortable. Not knowing what’s going to happen in the future creates a sense of unrest in many people. That’s why we sometimes draw on predictions made by leading experts in their respective fields to make decisions in our daily lives. Unfortunately, history has shown that experts aren’t often much better than the average person when it comes to forecasting the future. And economists aren’t an exception. Here are five economic predictions that never came true.
Is the current recovery more likely to end because it’s lasted so long? Have various imbalances and rigidities accumulated to make the economy frailer and more susceptible to a recessionary shock? Recent history suggests the answer is no. Instead, a long recovery appears no more likely to end than a short one. Like Peter Pan, recoveries appear to never grow old.
New data on services, trade and consumer borrowing will shed light on how key sectors are faring.
The rates of US economic growth and especially personal saving have been higher than previously believed, according to revised data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. But it's not all good news, because the largest economic imbalances remain unchanged.
Can Turkey pull its economy back from the brink of financial disaster? An economic expert explains what's at stake.
Bonds and equities signal different views on growth prospects for advanced economies